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1259 days ago

Everybody expects a melt-up. For instance, Hedge Funds net exposure stands at multi-year highs

Hedge Funds Fundamental Equity long/short aggregate gross and net exposure - Source: Goldman Sachs

#Stocks
Hedge Funds Fundamental Equity long/short aggregate gross and net exposure

1259 days ago

Guggenheim's Minerd warns the stock market's calm is merely the eye of a storm

Scott Minerd said on Friday that the current calm in the stock market is not the end of the storm but the eye, and political and economic turmoil will lead to a large move lower. Guggenheim's global investment chief said the lack of a fiscal stimulus before Election Day increases the likelihood of a negative GDP print in the fourth quarter and a "depression" for Main Street. He also said that a contested election will cause "political chaos" and a "sharp tightening in financial conditions" due to the uncertainty of who the next president will be.
The investor added: "The eye of the storm is not a place to relax, but instead it is an opportunity to prepare for what is to follow." - source: https://markets.businessinsider.com/

#Stocks
Markets in the eye of the storm?

1259 days ago

FAAANM account for most of the S&P price outperformance and most of S&P 500 EPS outperformance too

FAAANM = Facebook, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix & Microsoft - source: SocGen 

#Stocks
FAAANM stocks vs. S&P 500 ex FAAANM and MSCI AC ex-US price and EPS since 2015

1259 days ago

There is some potential for value if it starts to move

There is a massive valuation gap between Growth and Value. Tech remains the loved and crowded place (source: SocGen) 

#Stocks
Median PE valuation on global factor portfolio

1259 days ago

Lessons from Weimar hyperinflation -> stocks only go up in the debased currency

Stocks in the local currency and realised volatility will move higher when governments monetise their debt - but only until the crash.

#Stocks #Macro
Lessons from Weimar hyperinflation -> stocks only go up in the debased currency
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