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1183 days ago

Stocks when the Democrats control both the White House and Congress

The S&P Index Return lowered only once over the past 6 times, and not by so much. On average, that's a +9.1% and it has a solid median of 12%. 

#Macro
S&P 500 Index return when Democrats hold both the White House and Congress

1183 days ago

2020 vs. 2000: similarities?

Both the NASDAQ 100 vs. Russell 2000 ratio and the Russell 1000 Growth Index vs the Russell 1000 Value Index ratio seem to follow extremely similar patters when compared to 2000. One difference remains, though: in 2000 the Fed had start tightening up, while there are not signs of that today, yet. 

#Macro
Nasdaq vs the Russel: patterns similar to 2000

1184 days ago

A silver lining to the dark cloud of new lockdowns in Europe - we save more

Those fortunate enough to stay in work will spend less when couped up in their homes

#Macro
A silver lining to the dark cloud of new lockdowns in Europe - we save more

1184 days ago

US Treasury Yields return to 1%

For the first time since March, US treasury yields have crossed the 1% bar. This is partly due to the increased likelihood of Democrats to win the two runoff Senate elections in Georgia, which could pave the way for more spending to revive the US economy. The Climb to 1% might only be the beginning of an ascent, which could be accompanied by moderate inflation and an economic recovery (we hope). 

#Bonds #Macro
US treasury bonds crossing the 1% line

1184 days ago

Progress of Covid vaccinations: "Allez les bleus!"

The chart below shows the progress of vaccinations as a percentage of the priority population (65+ & Health Care Workers). UAE & Israel are up to a strong start. European countries (France in particular) seem to be lagging, to say the least...Source: Lombard Odier 

#Macro
The progress of vaccinations as a percentage of the priority population (65+ & Health Care Workers).+
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