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917 days ago

More range bound equities on negative macro surprises

Expect more range-bound returns and see potential for volatility to linger as long as macro surprises remain negative. Maybe we'll see lower equity returns owing to elevated valuations, fewer growth tailwinds and more rates headwinds, as well as margin pressures from supply disruptions and taxes. Call overwriting is more attractive considering the high volatility risk premia and limited right-tail risk near-term. Correction risk remains elevated as long as macro surprises are negative but based on our volatility regime model we would not expect a transition to a sustained high vol regime. @GS

#Macro

925 days ago

The Global Wealth Distribution

As we can see on this chart from Visual Capitalist, adults worth over $1 million only represents 1.1% of the population, and yet, they own 45.8% of global wealth. Source: Credit Suisse Global Wealth Data Book

#Macro
The Global Wealth Distribution

925 days ago

China injected $18.6 billion into their banking system during Evergrande crisis

The Chinese central bank increased its gross injection of short-term cash into its financial system after concern over a debt crisis at China Evergrande Group roiled global markets. Indeed, there was a strong need to calm down markets, as Chinese stocks are tumbling with the CSI 300 Index falling 1.9% on Wednesday only. However, analysts believe that Evergrande will not be a second episode to the Lehman Brothers series. Source: Bloomberg

#Macro
China injected $18.6 billion into their banking system during Evergrande crisis

927 days ago

Energy prices are on the rise, with an direct impact on global inflation

The chaos in the energy sectors, with futures climbing to sky-high levels, is deepening worries about the recovery in Europe. Many short-term prices are trading at multiples of their usual levels and many longer-term prices are sharply higher. Most households are experiencing higher bills while some countries are trying to set up plans to diminish the impact on consumer's budgets. Source: Bloomberg

#Macro
Energy prices are on the rise, with an direct impact on global inflation

930 days ago

Global growth is the thing that is 'transitory'

PMI surveys conducted by JP Morgan show output measures rolling over back to normal levels following the sharp downturn and upturns since the pandemic.

#Macro
Global growth is the thing that is 'transitory'
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